Editor's note: A member of the faculty of the Nigerian Institute of Journalism, Mr Amaso Jack writes on the controversy surrounding the activities of the leader of the Indigenous Peoples of Baifra (IPOB), Mazi Nnamdi Kanu.
Read below:
I firmly believe another civil war can be averted and indeed avoided if not prevented or perhaps prevented, indeed avoided and if not averted!
The choice between war and peace lies more in our actions than our words! ask "FIRE AND FURY" Donald Trump and his opponent, Kim Jong-un. Kim has taken the initiative, by the action of firing a medium range missile across Hokkaido, Japan.....that action 'more than a thousand words' was an act of war, he is the aggressor!
From a strict analytic point of view, that missile's trajectory over Japan was the declaration of war!
However, the best way to enforce peace, is to identify the causes of war and eliminating them, before they eliminate peace!
Nnamdi Kanu and his supporters are insisting on an independent state of Biafra despite the IPOB leader spending sometime in prison
What then are the causes of war?
(For when the cause is known it can be avoided).
The respected historian, John G. Stoessinger in the fourth edition of his 1985, St. Martin's book titled:
"WHY NATIONS GO TO WAR", advances four major reasons that were applicable to Ironsi on the eve of the Nigerian civil war, and are applicable to Buhari, as the nation's under him embarks on a perilous slide towards an absymal implosion. John wrote on the 210th page:
1. "A leader's misperception of his adversary's power is perhaps the quintessential cause of war. It is vital to remember, however, that it is not the actual distribution of power that precipitates a war; it is the way in which a leader thinks that power is distributed."
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ANALYSIS:
Nzeogwu had a mis-perception of those he killed, and those he intended to kill, most of whom were not killed.
D. J. M. Muffett on the 35th page of his 1982 Hudahuda published book, titled:
"LET TRUTH BE TOLD, THE COUPS D'ETAT OF 1966", recorded this encounter between Chukwuma Kaduna Nzeogwu and Major Hassan Usman Katsina, about those he actually killed, at "H" hour on "D" day, this way:
“Chukwuma was all bloodied up, very excited. He pointed a sub-machine gun at me and said 'Hassan! Are you with us? I said 'come on Chukwuma! What do you mean? ' He said 'Today the Nigerian Army has taken over the government of the country, I have killed Ademulegun, I have killed Shodiende, I have also killed the Sardauna.' I said 'Kaduna, you are in blood! Go and see a doctor.”
On the 35th and 43rd page of the same book, Muffett, provided this information about those who were to be killed; the source was the governor of the north, Sir Kashim Ibrahim:
“From the Recce Sqn. lines, Nzeogwu went back to Brigade Headquarters, where Sir Kashim Ibrahim had been taken. 'We were there some time under guard, until Nzeogwu arrived. He came up to me and said 'I am sorry, sir, this is a mistake; we do not want people like you! The only people we want to kill are Azikiwe, Ahmadu Bello, Akintola, Okpara, Okotie-Eboh and Orizu.'”
The writer then added:
“First, there is a statement that Nzeogwu made to the governor, Sir Kashim Ibrahim. He listed Azikiwe, Okpara and Orizu. None of them was killed. He did not list Sir Abubakar. He was murdered, only very tardily. Sir Kashim stated that it puzzled him as to why Nzeogwu listed Azikiwe, but he did.'”
Ironsi had a mis-perception of those officers and subalterns from the north who demanded "SOCIAL JUSTICE" by the trial of Nzeogwu and his team for their role in the coup, which Ironsi didn't undertake, that eventually led to the counter coup.
In the British army, subaltern is a collective word for junior army officers between the ranks of second lieutenant and lieutenant. By a strange twist, President Buhari was one of the subalterns Ironsi had a misconception about, just the way he Buhari now in Ironsi's shoes has a mis-perception about Nnamdi Kanu who now wears the 1966 shoes, he wore under Ironsi, and like his 1966 boss, he is heading in the direction of war.
Stoessinger's second point (still on the 210th page of his book) is:
2. “A war will start when nations disagree over their perceived strength.”
ANALYSIS: A Nation
“A large body of people united by common descent, history, culture, or language, inhabiting a particular state or territory.”
ANALYSIS OF THE ANALYSIS:
-From a strict political scientific perspective, as provided by Oxford dictionary, the Igbo in a totally different ethnic nationality from the Hausa and Fulani.
-There is no such thing as Hausa-Fulani, the Fulani conquered the Hausa.
The Editors of Encyclopædia Britannica captured the facts this way:
“In the 1790s a Fulani divine, Usman dan Fodio (1754–1817), who lived in the northern Hausa state of Gobir (northeast of Sokoto) quarreled with its rulers. Accusing the Hausa kings of being little more than pagans, he encouraged the Hausa people to revolt. Joined both by Hausa commoners and by Fulani pastoralists alike, the jihad, or holy war , swept through Hausaland.”
Stoessinger's third point, on the 218th page is:
3. “If the world's poor and Hungary remain unable to persuade the world's rich to share their wealth more equitably, then violence becomes an increasingly probably scenario. Hence, as the twentieth-century draws to a close, wars may erupt in the cracks of the state system as easily as among sovereign states themselves.”
ANALYSIS:
.....Buhari's red line of nepotism.
The strategic question is:
Does President Buhari hate the Igbo?
Sir Ahmadu Bello was the human symbolic representation of a vested interest. His assassination was a threat to the interest he represented and by extension, a declaration of war!
When the interest he represented responded, the pogrom was defined and the civil war happened!
Nnamdi Kanu is the symbolic representation of another interest!
The steps of Buhari's administration with respect to the man, (considering the double standards with respect to no action against Arewa youths who asked the Igbo nation to vacate the north, as Buhari was preparing to re-arrest him.)
This is the replay of the sectional script of Nzeogwu, commanders in Lagos, and the East..... and that with morbid of consequences.
Ironsi (the film censor) did not censor Nzeogwu's horror movie by bringing him to justice, this led to horro movie premiere called the pogrom, that led to the three year long horror movie, (the main Nigerian strategist in the war, Brigadier-General Godwin Alabi-Isama; the unsung hero of the conflict, would call it The Nigeria-Biafra War!
President Buhari the new movie board censor, has refused to censor the contemporary première of the killer herdsmen, like Ironsi before him. By his refusal to prosecute them for their war of attrition for coercion, their première called the pogrom is heading in the direction of war
The Biafra agitation has refused to die down despite several warnings from the federal government
.......Nnamdi Kanu is Ahmadu Bello in Hausa, and Ahmadu Bello is Nnamdi Kanu in Igbo!
When the symbol of an interest is killed, or an interest compromised by force of arms, or a monarch or festival decimated, war has been declared in principle, but the formal declaration is the commencement of the practice of war.
Cirtain individuals are symbolic custodians of interest, eliminating them is a strategic threat to the interest they represent, and by the action....a declaration of war is inevitable, because the bond between person and interest, can be defined in German word NIBELUNGENTREUE!
From the strategic point of view, a war is declared (amongst other conditions) when an individual who is the symbol, custodian or face of a national, political, economic, geopolitical, political economic interest is eliminated, oftne not always to the ''threat risk'' of the interests he represents or is a symbol of. That was what Ahmafdu Belo, that seems imminent with Nnamdi Kanu under Buhari.
Nnamdi Kanu is indeed Ahmadu Bello in Hausa, and Ahmadu Bello is Nnamdi Kanu in Igbo...both mean NIBELUNGENTREUE!
Read below:
I firmly believe another civil war can be averted and indeed avoided if not prevented or perhaps prevented, indeed avoided and if not averted!
The choice between war and peace lies more in our actions than our words! ask "FIRE AND FURY" Donald Trump and his opponent, Kim Jong-un. Kim has taken the initiative, by the action of firing a medium range missile across Hokkaido, Japan.....that action 'more than a thousand words' was an act of war, he is the aggressor!
From a strict analytic point of view, that missile's trajectory over Japan was the declaration of war!
However, the best way to enforce peace, is to identify the causes of war and eliminating them, before they eliminate peace!
What then are the causes of war?
(For when the cause is known it can be avoided).
The respected historian, John G. Stoessinger in the fourth edition of his 1985, St. Martin's book titled:
"WHY NATIONS GO TO WAR", advances four major reasons that were applicable to Ironsi on the eve of the Nigerian civil war, and are applicable to Buhari, as the nation's under him embarks on a perilous slide towards an absymal implosion. John wrote on the 210th page:
1. "A leader's misperception of his adversary's power is perhaps the quintessential cause of war. It is vital to remember, however, that it is not the actual distribution of power that precipitates a war; it is the way in which a leader thinks that power is distributed."
PAY ATTENTION: Read the news on Nigeria’s #1 news app
ANALYSIS:
Nzeogwu had a mis-perception of those he killed, and those he intended to kill, most of whom were not killed.
D. J. M. Muffett on the 35th page of his 1982 Hudahuda published book, titled:
"LET TRUTH BE TOLD, THE COUPS D'ETAT OF 1966", recorded this encounter between Chukwuma Kaduna Nzeogwu and Major Hassan Usman Katsina, about those he actually killed, at "H" hour on "D" day, this way:
“Chukwuma was all bloodied up, very excited. He pointed a sub-machine gun at me and said 'Hassan! Are you with us? I said 'come on Chukwuma! What do you mean? ' He said 'Today the Nigerian Army has taken over the government of the country, I have killed Ademulegun, I have killed Shodiende, I have also killed the Sardauna.' I said 'Kaduna, you are in blood! Go and see a doctor.”
On the 35th and 43rd page of the same book, Muffett, provided this information about those who were to be killed; the source was the governor of the north, Sir Kashim Ibrahim:
“From the Recce Sqn. lines, Nzeogwu went back to Brigade Headquarters, where Sir Kashim Ibrahim had been taken. 'We were there some time under guard, until Nzeogwu arrived. He came up to me and said 'I am sorry, sir, this is a mistake; we do not want people like you! The only people we want to kill are Azikiwe, Ahmadu Bello, Akintola, Okpara, Okotie-Eboh and Orizu.'”
The writer then added:
“First, there is a statement that Nzeogwu made to the governor, Sir Kashim Ibrahim. He listed Azikiwe, Okpara and Orizu. None of them was killed. He did not list Sir Abubakar. He was murdered, only very tardily. Sir Kashim stated that it puzzled him as to why Nzeogwu listed Azikiwe, but he did.'”
Ironsi had a mis-perception of those officers and subalterns from the north who demanded "SOCIAL JUSTICE" by the trial of Nzeogwu and his team for their role in the coup, which Ironsi didn't undertake, that eventually led to the counter coup.
In the British army, subaltern is a collective word for junior army officers between the ranks of second lieutenant and lieutenant. By a strange twist, President Buhari was one of the subalterns Ironsi had a misconception about, just the way he Buhari now in Ironsi's shoes has a mis-perception about Nnamdi Kanu who now wears the 1966 shoes, he wore under Ironsi, and like his 1966 boss, he is heading in the direction of war.
Stoessinger's second point (still on the 210th page of his book) is:
2. “A war will start when nations disagree over their perceived strength.”
ANALYSIS: A Nation
“A large body of people united by common descent, history, culture, or language, inhabiting a particular state or territory.”
ANALYSIS OF THE ANALYSIS:
-From a strict political scientific perspective, as provided by Oxford dictionary, the Igbo in a totally different ethnic nationality from the Hausa and Fulani.
-There is no such thing as Hausa-Fulani, the Fulani conquered the Hausa.
The Editors of Encyclopædia Britannica captured the facts this way:
“In the 1790s a Fulani divine, Usman dan Fodio (1754–1817), who lived in the northern Hausa state of Gobir (northeast of Sokoto) quarreled with its rulers. Accusing the Hausa kings of being little more than pagans, he encouraged the Hausa people to revolt. Joined both by Hausa commoners and by Fulani pastoralists alike, the jihad, or holy war , swept through Hausaland.”
Stoessinger's third point, on the 218th page is:
3. “If the world's poor and Hungary remain unable to persuade the world's rich to share their wealth more equitably, then violence becomes an increasingly probably scenario. Hence, as the twentieth-century draws to a close, wars may erupt in the cracks of the state system as easily as among sovereign states themselves.”
ANALYSIS:
.....Buhari's red line of nepotism.
The strategic question is:
Does President Buhari hate the Igbo?
Sir Ahmadu Bello was the human symbolic representation of a vested interest. His assassination was a threat to the interest he represented and by extension, a declaration of war!
When the interest he represented responded, the pogrom was defined and the civil war happened!
Nnamdi Kanu is the symbolic representation of another interest!
The steps of Buhari's administration with respect to the man, (considering the double standards with respect to no action against Arewa youths who asked the Igbo nation to vacate the north, as Buhari was preparing to re-arrest him.)
This is the replay of the sectional script of Nzeogwu, commanders in Lagos, and the East..... and that with morbid of consequences.
Ironsi (the film censor) did not censor Nzeogwu's horror movie by bringing him to justice, this led to horro movie premiere called the pogrom, that led to the three year long horror movie, (the main Nigerian strategist in the war, Brigadier-General Godwin Alabi-Isama; the unsung hero of the conflict, would call it The Nigeria-Biafra War!
President Buhari the new movie board censor, has refused to censor the contemporary première of the killer herdsmen, like Ironsi before him. By his refusal to prosecute them for their war of attrition for coercion, their première called the pogrom is heading in the direction of war
.......Nnamdi Kanu is Ahmadu Bello in Hausa, and Ahmadu Bello is Nnamdi Kanu in Igbo!
When the symbol of an interest is killed, or an interest compromised by force of arms, or a monarch or festival decimated, war has been declared in principle, but the formal declaration is the commencement of the practice of war.
Cirtain individuals are symbolic custodians of interest, eliminating them is a strategic threat to the interest they represent, and by the action....a declaration of war is inevitable, because the bond between person and interest, can be defined in German word NIBELUNGENTREUE!
From the strategic point of view, a war is declared (amongst other conditions) when an individual who is the symbol, custodian or face of a national, political, economic, geopolitical, political economic interest is eliminated, oftne not always to the ''threat risk'' of the interests he represents or is a symbol of. That was what Ahmafdu Belo, that seems imminent with Nnamdi Kanu under Buhari.
Nnamdi Kanu is indeed Ahmadu Bello in Hausa, and Ahmadu Bello is Nnamdi Kanu in Igbo...both mean NIBELUNGENTREUE!
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